Jung, Pei & Rebecca

In response to Virginia Tech’s shooting event, I heard the following statistic during a sunday sermon. The statistic is based on a survey conducted on currently or previously imprisoned juveniles. I don’t remember the exact details of the statistic, but it went something like this:

• Out of approximately 2000 respondents, only 5% believed in the existence of God,
• only 3% have ever stepped in a church, and
• only 1% currently attend church

The pastor used the above numbers to imply that, had the church done a better job in attracting young people to God, fewer youngster would end up in prison.

Although I have no doubt in the conclusion that God can change young deliquent’s life, I do have my doubts on the supporting statistic. Somehow, I find the misuse of statistic quite widespread in radio shows and some popular magazines.

The first problem with the given statistic is that we are not told what is the average number of young people who believe in God but have NEVER been imprisoned. For the conclusion to be true, the number of young people who believe in God outside of prison should be far greater than 5%. But is this really true? I personally wouldn’t be surprised if only 1 out of 20 average young people believe in God nowadays.

The second problem that I see with this example is that it assumes the interviewed people kept their belief (or lack of it) during they stay in prison. But what if certain people believed in God while in prison? Or, conversely, what if certain people lost their faith in prison? Either situation would directly skew the results in one way or another, effectively weaking the conclusion.

And, finally, even if the previous two assumptions were true, it still doesn’t prove (statistically) that attracting young people to church will keep them out of prison. The numbers merely suggest that there is correlation between people who don’t believe in God and people who end up in prison. We can’t establish a cause-and-effect situation with only the numbers that were given.

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今天小卡鬧了一整個早上，吃完午飯就戰力不支倒地睡午覺去，我則奢侈的倒杯茶享受一下閱讀之樂跟上網閒逛之餘，就發現這個好貨。

很適合家裡空間不大的或是寸金寸土的地方，看似方形的造型有著渾圓的線條，一點都不會太剛硬，整個設計很有簡約現代之風，但不會太未來很耐看。最讓我欣賞的一點是不但可以當side table，也可以當額外座椅，還可以當地燈的三合一省空間多用途的傢具，方便易清理的材質更是吸引人掏出白花花的鈔票，不過一個要價$250USD大洋，對於市井小民的我還是要價有點偏高，可是看在它一物三用的份上，也上了我”未來考慮”購入的傢具清單。

圖出於Design Within Reach website

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這是Rebecca新學會的把戲，在長久被爸媽潑水鬧她的之下，小小兵終於反攻了。

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Rebecca對之前單字的圖片已經覺得無聊，現在愛看有圖片跟故事的書，整天追著我要我念給她聽，最近我又有點小感冒，沒有很多聲音，她有時看我不念給她，乾脆自己來，抓著書到大椅子上或一個角落，自己就念起來。

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今天又去見美麗醫生，做健康檢查，我很乖，一點都不怕生，還滿房間走來走去，玩醫院的新玩具，還跟醫生說故事，玩得不亦樂乎。聽醫生說，我已經從小胖變為小瘦，不過大致而言還算健康。不過因為我很愛放東西到嘴巴又愛喝洗澡水，所以醫生要我驗一下血，確定我沒有生病。

這是我第一次跟大人一樣去lab抽血，本來大家都以為我會大哭特哭，爸爸媽媽跟兩個護士阿姨把我緊緊抓著，爸爸還不太敢看我被抽血，可是出人意外我乖乖的從頭到尾都沒哭，還直直盯著我的血流到兩個小管子裡，所有的護士都來看我抽血還稱讚我好厲害都不哭，我很高興的看著我的新繃帶，一步步走出醫院。

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Rebecca只要一看到爸爸的車子停在停車位，就以為爸爸回來了，就會一直在門口等，現在因為天氣比較好，有時爸爸是騎腳踏車去上班，車子就停在停車位，可憐的Rebecca就會整天在等她爸爸。

這是我們要出去錄的，看來她已經知道我們的車車在那。

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I still remember that Yao and I played with teddy bears a lot when we were small. We even gave distinct names to each bear and made up stories with them. Now, 20+ years after, we finally get to play it again.

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前幾天跟小卡在家玩遊戲，想教她躲貓貓，很努力試了好幾次，只有一次成功讓她來找我，之後她只以為躲貓貓就是蹲著兩隻手烏住眼睛。

題外話，小卡現在非常難拍到，有時好不容易拍到的，又會被她玩相機時她自己給洗掉。

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今天我不乖，一直故意把書跟玩具丟在地上，媽媽跟我說不能丟東西，再丟東西就要Time-out，我很奸詐不聽話的故意一直丟，還說”丟掉”，媽媽就把我放在房間裡Time-out，大哭了一分鐘，媽媽來找我，跟我說，不能故意丟東西，這是不好的行為，媽媽還是很愛你的。我現在知道不能丟東西，也知道媽媽很愛我。

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從小我就每天睡前幫Rebecca禱告，順便跟她說說今天做的事，等她從加拿大回來，就每天吃飯前也跟她一起禱告，之前Rebecca只會在我們禱告時不吃東西，但今天發現她學會在禱告時低頭，不知道啥時她可以自己禱告？

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